{
 "name": "Russia",
 "type": "place",
 "episodes": [
  "the-diary-of-a-ceo-2026-07-23-urgent-update-iran-war-expert-70-chance-us-sends-troops-to-i",
  "the-tucker-carlson-show-2026-07-23-iran-war-expected-to-spark-global-energy-crisis-here-s-what-",
  "all-in-2026-09-04-gpt-6-hits-agi-tech-euphoria-2-0-sf-mansion-shortage-nyc-ban"
 ],
 "claims": [
  {
   "holder": "Robert Pape",
   "claim": "Russia sees the Iran crisis as an opportunity to squeeze Europe economically by escalating pressure on Ukraine around Crimea at the same time.",
   "stance": "opinion",
   "conviction": 0.65,
   "subjects": [
    "Russia",
    "Ukraine"
   ],
   "timestamp": "1:33:05",
   "quote": "What Russia is seeing is an opportunity to squeeze Europe economically.",
   "episode_id": "the-diary-of-a-ceo-2026-07-23-urgent-update-iran-war-expert-70-chance-us-sends-troops-to-i",
   "published_at": "2026-07-23"
  },
  {
   "holder": "Tucker Carlson",
   "claim": "The United States is effectively at war with Russia, because US intelligence is being used to target Ukrainian strikes on Russian energy infrastructure.",
   "stance": "assertion",
   "conviction": 0.9,
   "subjects": [
    "United States",
    "Russia",
    "Ukraine"
   ],
   "timestamp": "0:00",
   "quote": "and make no mistake, the United States is at war with Russia",
   "episode_id": "the-tucker-carlson-show-2026-07-23-iran-war-expected-to-spark-global-energy-crisis-here-s-what-",
   "published_at": "2026-07-23"
  },
  {
   "holder": "Chris Martenson",
   "claim": "The escalation against Russian refineries and shipping appears designed to provoke a reaction, and is dangerous given Russia's widened nuclear doctrine.",
   "stance": "opinion",
   "conviction": 0.6,
   "subjects": [
    "Russia",
    "Ukraine",
    "United States"
   ],
   "timestamp": "56:08",
   "quote": "It seems to be to provoke a reaction.",
   "episode_id": "the-tucker-carlson-show-2026-07-23-iran-war-expected-to-spark-global-energy-crisis-here-s-what-",
   "published_at": "2026-07-23"
  },
  {
   "holder": "David Friedberg",
   "claim": "The biggest motive for the Venezuela deal may be keeping the oil out of Russia's and China's sweetheart arrangements; its legitimacy depends on whether ordinary Venezuelans benefit rather than a corrupt elite.",
   "stance": "opinion",
   "conviction": 0.7,
   "subjects": [
    "Venezuela",
    "Russia",
    "China"
   ],
   "timestamp": "1:24:50",
   "quote": "The biggest motivating factor may be keeping this oil away from the sweetheart deal for Russia and China.",
   "episode_id": "all-in-2026-09-04-gpt-6-hits-agi-tech-euphoria-2-0-sf-mansion-shortage-nyc-ban",
   "published_at": "2026-09-04"
  }
 ],
 "predictions": [],
 "facts": [
  {
   "statement": "Iran and its neighbours produce about 20% of global oil supply; Russia produces about 12%.",
   "subjects": [
    "Iran",
    "Russia",
    "energy"
   ],
   "value": "~20% and ~12% of global oil supply",
   "timestamp": "0:00",
   "quote": "because Iran and the countries around Iran produce about 20% of global oil supply. Russia, meanwhile, produces about 12% of global oil supply.",
   "source": "Tucker Carlson",
   "episode_id": "the-tucker-carlson-show-2026-07-23-iran-war-expected-to-spark-global-energy-crisis-here-s-what-",
   "published_at": "2026-07-23"
  },
  {
   "statement": "Every major Russian refinery had been attacked at least once as of three days before the episode, some 1,500 miles inland.",
   "subjects": [
    "Russia",
    "Ukraine"
   ],
   "value": "100% of major refineries hit",
   "timestamp": "53:48",
   "quote": "And as of three days ago, every single major refinery in Russia had been attacked at least once. None had been missed.",
   "source": "Chris Martenson",
   "episode_id": "the-tucker-carlson-show-2026-07-23-iran-war-expected-to-spark-global-energy-crisis-here-s-what-",
   "published_at": "2026-07-23"
  },
  {
   "statement": "Russia recently widened its nuclear doctrine from responding only to nuclear attack to permitting use when facing an existential threat.",
   "subjects": [
    "Russia"
   ],
   "timestamp": "53:48",
   "quote": "they revamped their nuclear doctrine to say, you know, it used to be a, we would only respond if attacked with nukes, but we're widening that to say, we can use them if we're facing an existential threat.",
   "source": "Chris Martenson",
   "episode_id": "the-tucker-carlson-show-2026-07-23-iran-war-expected-to-spark-global-energy-crisis-here-s-what-",
   "published_at": "2026-07-23"
  }
 ],
 "first_seen": "2026-07-23",
 "last_seen": "2026-09-04"
}